The potential return of Donald Trump to the presidency could significantly impact Ukraine’s relationship with the US. President Volodymyr Zelensky must strategize how to regain Trump’s confidence and prepare for a possible shift in US foreign policy. While their past interactions have been complicated, renewed cooperation is crucial for Ukraine’s political stability and security. A Trump presidency could lead to a reevaluation of US support for Ukraine, potentially affecting its geopolitical standing and security.
Zelensky and Trump
Zelensky and Trump first engaged in 2019 after Trump invited Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden’s family. This call, among other factors, led to a complicated relationship between the two presidents. The call also resulted in Trump’s first impeachment, further straining their relationship. Trump has since questioned the United States’ ongoing support to Ukraine. Zelensky must address these concerns while highlighting Ukraine’s geopolitical status and the progress it has made towards independence.
Channels of Diplomacy
To sway Trump’s opinions regarding Ukraine’s role in global security, Zelensky must establish strong diplomatic relationships with Trump’s allies. He may collaborate with Trump’s advisors and Republican politicians to establish bonds prior to a Trump presidency.
Trump’s worries
Trump has often been critical of US military aid to Ukraine and called on more European countries to give more. Zelensky must make Ukraine’s reforms and its progress towards independence more prominent. Zelensky can end Trump’s scepticism and advance additional US support by being transparent and efficient in foreign aid use.
Partnerships with NATO
Zelensky can prove that Ukraine is not solely dependent on the US by strengthening alliances with NATO and European officials. To persuade Trump that Ukraine is a global responsibility for everyone, Zelensky can obtain additional financial and military pledges from European allies. This tactic could convince Trump to maintain some form of American support.
A Common Ground
Trump is known for his admiration of firm action and leadership. This aligns well with Zelensky’s own leadership and determination throughout the war. By highlighting Ukraine’s fight for independence and its role in preventing Russian aggression as a victory of firm leadership and patriotism—principles that Trump often emphasizes-Zelensky can further solidify his position and reassure the audience about Ukraine’s future.
Potential Situations
Zelensky must be prepared for a range of potential outcomes. If Trump is victorious, Ukraine will need to adjust its strategy, potentially including making deals. However, Zelensky must ensure bipartisan support for Ukraine remains, especially if Biden remains in power. With a changing US administration, Ukraine will be in a better position to overcome any obstacles with an adaptable strategy, leading to a more optimistic outlook for the country’s future.
Despite the complex history between Trump and Zelensky, Ukraine’s future security is not a lost cause. By engaging in constructive dialogue with Trump’s allies, addressing his concerns, and highlighting Ukraine’s geopolitical importance, Zelensky can pave the way for a more stable and secure future. In these uncertain times, Ukraine’s proactive approach can lead to sustained stability and continued support.
